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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

000
ABNT20 KNHC 061150
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 6 2022

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Danielle, located more than 800 miles west-northwest of the Azores,
and on Tropical Storm Earl, located about 600 miles south of
Bermuda.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms persist from the Cabo Verde
Islands southwestward several hundred miles in association with a
broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions are conducive
for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could
form in a few days while moving westward to west-northwestward at 15
to 20 mph over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
Upper-level winds are likely to become less conducive for
development late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.

African Coast:
A tropical wave currently located over western Africa is forecast to
emerge offshore into the eastern Atlantic in a day or two.
Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow
development thereafter as the system moves west-northwestward
over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin

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