Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023
689
FONT13 KNHC 160248
PWSAT3
HURRICANE LEE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132023
0300 UTC SAT SEP 16 2023
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
PTX BASQUES 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 16(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 4 24(28) 10(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X 13(13) 11(24) 3(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
SABLE ISLAND 34 7 13(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
HALIFAX NS 34 21 52(73) 5(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
HALIFAX NS 50 X 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
YARMOUTH NS 34 87 12(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
YARMOUTH NS 50 17 68(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X 27(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
MONCTON NB 34 4 56(60) 26(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
MONCTON NB 50 X 6( 6) 20(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ST JOHN NB 34 39 52(91) 3(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
ST JOHN NB 50 X 45(45) 6(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
ST JOHN NB 64 X 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
EASTPORT ME 34 50 43(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93)
EASTPORT ME 50 X 39(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
EASTPORT ME 64 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 44 36(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
AUGUSTA ME 34 14 17(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
PORTLAND ME 34 11 6(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
CONCORD NH 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 8 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
WORCESTER MA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 7 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HYANNIS MA 34 37 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38)
NANTUCKET MA 34 73 X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 14 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
NEW LONDON CT 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
$$
FORECASTER KELLY/BROWN