000
ABNT20 KNHC 252317
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Sep 25 2025

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle, approaching the Azores, and on
Tropical Storm Humberto, over the subtropical central Atlantic.

Southwestern Atlantic (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in
association with a a tropical wave located near Hispaniola and the
Turks and Caicos Islands. An area of low pressure is expected to
form along the wave tonight or early Friday when it moves near the
southeast Bahamas. This low is expected to become a tropical
depression when it is in the vicinity of the central and northwest
Bahamas late Friday or over the weekend, and then track
northwestward or northward over the southwestern Atlantic.

Interests in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, and the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this
system. Regardless of development, heavy rains and gusty winds
are likely across that region during the next couple of days.
While there is significant uncertainty in the long-range track and
intensity of the system, the chances of wind, rainfall, and storm
surge impacts for a portion of the southeast U.S. coast are
increasing. Interests in that area should monitor the progress of
the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch