000
ABNT20 KNHC 260540
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle, over of the Azores, and on
Tropical Storm Humberto, over the subtropical central Atlantic.

Southwestern Atlantic (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in
association with a a tropical wave located near Hispaniola and the
Turks and Caicos Islands. An area of low pressure is expected to
form along the wave today when it moves near the southeast Bahamas.
This low is expected to become a tropical depression when it is in
the vicinity of the central and northwest Bahamas later today or
over the weekend, and then track northwestward or northward over the
southwestern Atlantic.

Regardless of development, heavy rains and gusty winds are ongoing
in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and the Turks and Caicos Islands
and likely to spread across the Bahamas an eastern Cuba during the
next couple of days. Interests in all of these areas should monitor
the progress of the system. While there is significant uncertainty
in the long-range track and intensity of the system, the chances of
wind, rainfall, and storm surge impacts for a portion of the
southeast U.S. coast during the next several days are increasing.
Interests in this area should also monitor the progress of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven/Bucci