000
ABNT20 KNHC 261709
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Humberto, located over the subtropical central Atlantic, and has
issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical cyclone Gabrielle over
the northeastern Atlantic.

Southwestern Atlantic (AL94):
Satellite data and surface observations indicate that a low pressure
system appears to be forming near eastern Cuba and the southeastern
Bahamas. This system is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms, and gusty winds. Gradual development of
this system is expected, and it will likely become a tropical
depression during the next day or so while it moves northwestward or
northward across the central and northwestern Bahamas.

Regardless of development, heavy rains and gusty winds are ongoing
in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the
southeastern Bahamas and eastern Cuba, and are likely to spread
across the remainder of the Bahamas over the weekend. Interests in
all of these areas should monitor the progress of the system.
Tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions of
the Bahamas and advisories on a potential tropical cyclone could be
issued as early as later today. While there remains considerable
uncertainty in the long-range track and intensity of the system,
there is a significant risk of wind, rainfall, and storm surge
impacts for a portion of the southeast U.S. coast early next week.
Interests in this area should also monitor the progress of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Reinhart/Hagen