Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 29 2025
000 FONT14 KNHC 291455 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025 1500 UTC MON SEP 29 2025 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IMELDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) KINGS BAY GA 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COCOA BEACH FL 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PATRICK AFB 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FT PIERCE FL 34 4 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) W PALM BEACH 34 4 4( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) FT LAUDERDALE 34 3 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 83(87) X(87) X(87) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 58(58) X(58) X(58) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) X(31) X(31) GRAND BAHAMA 34 13 9(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 10 6(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ANDROS 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) GREAT EXUMA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN SALVADOR 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN