Issued at 2100 UTC WED OCT 29 2025
000 FONT13 KNHC 292044 PWSAT3 HURRICANE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025 2100 UTC WED OCT 29 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 52(52) X(52) X(52) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 61(61) X(61) X(61) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 9(17) X(17) X(17) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 83(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) 38(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANDROS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREAT EXUMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN SALVADOR 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN SALVADOR 50 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) SAN SALVADOR 64 62 X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) MAYAGUANA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAYAGUANA 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND TURK 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN