000
ABNT20 KNHC 241728
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 24 2025
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Gabrielle, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.
Central and Western Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
A low pressure system located several hundred miles east of the
Leeward Islands, has become better defined with showers and
thunderstorms becoming better organized this afternoon. If these
trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a tropical
depression or storm later today or tonight. The system is expected
to move generally west-northwestward to northwestward into the
western tropical Atlantic, well north of the Leeward Islands.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.
Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased but remain disorganized in
association with a tropical wave over the northeastern Caribbean
Sea. This wave is expected to move west-northwestward around 10 to
15 mph, spreading heavy rainfall and gusty winds into Puerto Rico
and the Virgin Islands today, and across the Dominican Republic
beginning tonight. The system is then expected to slow down and
turn northwestward when it reaches the southwestern Atlantic late
this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more
conducive for development in a few days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form when the disturbance is in the vicinity of the
Bahamas. Interests in the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the
Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas
should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Hurricane
Hunter Aircraft is en route to perform a system survey to gather
data from the surrounding environment.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days…high…80 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly