Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025
000 FONT13 KNHC 282051 PWSAT3 HURRICANE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132025 2100 UTC TUE OCT 28 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MELISSA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 125 KTS...145 MPH...230 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) X(24) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 84(85) X(85) X(85) BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 46(46) X(46) X(46) BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ANDROS 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GREAT EXUMA 34 2 60(62) 8(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) GREAT EXUMA 50 X 11(11) 15(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) GREAT EXUMA 64 X 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAN SALVADOR 34 1 46(47) 47(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) SAN SALVADOR 50 X 4( 4) 67(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) SAN SALVADOR 64 X 1( 1) 48(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) MAYAGUANA 34 2 47(49) 28(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) MAYAGUANA 50 X 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) CIENFUEGOS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAMAGUEY 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 62 12(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) GUANTANAMO BAY 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTEGO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MONTEGO BAY 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MONTEGO BAY 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KINGSTON 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LES CAYES 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PUERTO PLATA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN